"What history teaches—over and over again, even to the class of pundits that believes it is genetically endowed with the ability to foretell the future—is that presidential campaigns are too few (and idiosyncratic) to generate general rules. Is it tough for front-runners to recover from early shocks? Yes. Can it be done? Yes. If that's too tentative for you, take up a more scientifically precise form of work—like gaming the stock market."
Jeff Greenfield in Slate points to examples of candidate comebacks during the primary campaigns of 1976, 1984, and 2000.
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A moment of candor, Ted: I've been looking to this election as an indicator of how I should view where we're at these days as a country. Tonight was,to say the least, a pretty severe setback.
Put another way, in the primary for my mental landscape in this last year of grad school, the candidates are RFK and Mencken. Mencken scored a huge win tonight.
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